COURSE INTRODUCTION AND APPLICATION INFORMATION


Course Name
Probabilistic Systems Analysis
Code
Semester
Theory
(hour/week)
Application/Lab
(hour/week)
Local Credits
ECTS
IE 502
Fall/Spring
3
0
3
7.5
Prerequisites
None
Course Language
English
Course Type
Elective
Course Level
Second Cycle
Mode of Delivery -
Teaching Methods and Techniques of the Course Problem Solving
Lecturing / Presentation
Course Coordinator
Course Lecturer(s)
Assistant(s) -
Course Objectives Most problems encountered in scientific research requires acquaintance with stochastic models and the solution techniques used for these models. The stochastic versions of deterministic problems may also be defined and modelled. Using the models and techniques taught in this course, solution approaches will be sought to problems that are stochastic in nature or to the stochastic versions of deterministic problems. The student will gain the ability to build and analyze models.
Learning Outcomes The students who succeeded in this course;
  • Discuss a scientific paper that involves stochastic models
  • Model any process that evolves over time.
  • Make scientific predictions about the future of a process using the models and techniques of stochastic processes.
  • Compare and contrast the models and techniques used in stochastic processes with those of other industrial engineering/operations research tools.
  • Classify the stochastic processes models.
  • Derive the equations of stochastic models, follow the proofs of theorems, and prove the validity of a solution.
Course Description The course involves defining and modelling a stochastic process and solving the problems related to the stochastic process being investigated. The underlying theory will be taught, followed by applications that illustrate the use of a stochastic process.
Related Sustainable Development Goals

 



Course Category

Core Courses
Major Area Courses
Supportive Courses
Media and Managment Skills Courses
Transferable Skill Courses

 

WEEKLY SUBJECTS AND RELATED PREPARATION STUDIES

Week Subjects Required Materials
1 Probability Models and Axioms; Conditioning and Bayes' Rule; Independence Related chapter of course book
2 Counting; Discrete Random Variables; Probability Mass Functions; Expectations Related chapter of course book
3 Joint PMFs; Multiple Discrete Random Variables Related chapter of course book
4 Continuous Random Variables; Multiple Continuous Random Variables; Continuous Bayes' Rule Related chapter of course book
5 Derived Distributions, Convolution; Covariance and Correlation Related chapter of course book
6 MIDTERM
7 Stochastic Processes: Bernoulli Process; Poisson Process - I Related chapter of course book
8 Stochastic Processes: Poisson Process - II Related chapter of course book
9 Stochastic Processes: Poisson Process – III Related chapter of course book
10 Markov Chains – I & II Related chapter of course book
11 Markov Chains – I & II
12 Markov Chains – III Related chapter of course book
13 Markov Chains – IV Related chapter of course book
14 Project Presentations Related chapter of course book
15 Review of the semester Related chapter of course book
16 Final Exam
Course Notes/Textbooks

Ross, Sheldon. Introduction to Probability Models, 11th edition, Academic Press, 2014. ISBN: 978-0124079489

Bertsekas, Dimitri, and John Tsitsiklis. Introduction to Probability. 2nd ed. Athena, Scientific, 2008. ISBN: 9781886529236.

Taylor, Howard M. and Karlin, Samuel. An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling, 3rd Edition, Academic Press, 1998, ISBN: 978-0-12-684887-8.

Suggested Readings/Materials

Sheldon Ross, Stochastic Processes, 2nd edition, Wiley, 1995. ISBN: 978-0471120629

 

EVALUATION SYSTEM

Semester Activities Number Weigthing
Participation
1
10
Laboratory / Application
Field Work
Quizzes / Studio Critiques
Portfolio
Homework / Assignments
1
20
Presentation / Jury
Project
Seminar / Workshop
Oral Exam
Midterm
1
35
Final Exam
35
Total

Weighting of Semester Activities on the Final Grade
3
65
Weighting of End-of-Semester Activities on the Final Grade
1
35
Total

ECTS / WORKLOAD TABLE

Semester Activities Number Duration (Hours) Workload
Course Hours
(Including exam week: 16 x total hours)
16
3
48
Laboratory / Application Hours
(Including exam week: 16 x total hours)
16
Study Hours Out of Class
16
5
80
Field Work
Quizzes / Studio Critiques
Portfolio
Homework / Assignments
3
15
Presentation / Jury
Project
Seminar / Workshop
Oral Exam
Midterms
1
25
Final Exams
28
    Total
198

 

COURSE LEARNING OUTCOMES AND PROGRAM QUALIFICATIONS RELATIONSHIP

#
Program Competencies/Outcomes
* Contribution Level
1
2
3
4
5
1 Accesses information in breadth and depth by conducting scientific research in Computer Engineering, evaluates, interprets and applies information. X
2 Is well-informed about contemporary techniques and methods used in Computer Engineering and their limitations. X
3 Uses scientific methods to complete and apply information from uncertain, limited or incomplete data, can combine and use information from different disciplines. X
4 Is informed about new and upcoming applications in the field and learns them whenever necessary. X
5 Defines and formulates problems related to Computer Engineering, develops methods to solve them and uses progressive methods in solutions. X
6 Develops novel and/or original methods, designs complex systems or processes and develops progressive/alternative solutions in designs. X
7 Designs and implements studies based on theory, experiments and modelling, analyses and resolves the complex problems that arise in this process. X
8 Can work effectively in interdisciplinary teams as well as teams of the same discipline, can lead such teams and can develop approaches for resolving complex situations, can work independently and takes responsibility. X
9 Engages in written and oral communication at least in Level B2 of the European Language Portfolio Global Scale. X
10 Communicates the process and the results of his/her studies in national and international venues systematically, clearly and in written or oral form. X
11 Is knowledgeable about the social, environmental, health, security and law implications of Computer Engineering applications, knows their project management and business applications, and is aware of their limitations in Computer Engineering applications. X
12 Highly regards scientific and ethical values in data collection, interpretation, communication and in every professional activity. X

*1 Lowest, 2 Low, 3 Average, 4 High, 5 Highest